The Relegation Dogfight 23/24

[MC Plantpot]

Wolves and West Ham both away will be tough for Luton, but would expect them to get two wins from Brentford, Everton, and Fulham all at home. Would put it at 8 points for them.

Not at all impossible, but aren’t they currently 6 points from the last 35 available or something? So 8 points would be a massive turnaround

 

[mysteryduck]

Yeah, I'm just thinking worse case scenario for us mainly, plus form can go out of the window at this stage of the season.

 

[Thomas]

Wolves and West Ham both away will be tough for Luton, but would expect them to get two wins from Brentford, Everton, and Fulham all at home. Would put it at 8 points for them.

If we couldn’t beat Brentford and wolves, I’m not going to expect the team that is actually worse than us to beat them.


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[justnotjase]

Or the 7 points we've lost to refs.

For the first time I actually think we're going down

Same for me. Have thought all season that we would get out of it, I don't now. Just don't see us winning away games, would take a remarkable turnaround. Can see 6 more points max. Bloody championship again.

 

[SandyReid]

Same for me. Have thought all season that we would get out of it, I don't now. Just don't see us winning away games, would take a remarkable turnaround. Can see 6 more points max. Bloody championship again.

Of the away games we’ve played under Nuno, we’ve been in every game. Villa was a bit of a shitshow with the Niakhate left back experiment and Brighton was a strange selection but these are tight tight fine margin situations.

So whilst my gut would incline me to believe we are toast and heading back to the champ, my head says it will go down to whether we get the rub of the green or just experience some clutch moments.

Danilo is a clutch player and his recent form gives me so much hope.

 

[isaacs]

The most worried i've been all season after todays result. Its not that we're playing badly, its that we are a replica of Leicester last season. We have nice players who play some really nice stuff but as soon as the ball is in or around our box you're expecting something significant to happen whereas at the other end we're grinding inches and yards trying to create space for a finish.

Frustrating and worryingly for me we are the exact team we loved to defend deep against last season. Dyche, Wilder and Kompany must all be thinking the same thing, sit deep and compact, force them out wide and get them on the counter and/or set pieces.

Yet after saying all of that, we could be safe as it bloody stands because Lutons games don't scream bankers for me.

**I should note that my tone has been heavily influenced by a crowned tooth falling out just before kick off**

 

[eyupmeduck]

Wolves and West Ham both away will be tough for Luton, but would expect them to get two wins from Brentford, Everton, and Fulham all at home. Would put it at 8 points for them.

In the reverse fixtures they have drawn with 10 man wolves and lost to the rest.

They are also the 3rd worst performing team at home and 2nd worst performing away from home so far.

They additionally have 10 first team players out injured so with past performance not being great and a depleted squad I don't see them turning into a team that gets 8 points from teams that they've got 1 from in the previous 5 attempts.



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[Thomas]

In the reverse fixtures they have drawn with 10 man wolves and lost to the rest.

They are also the 3rd worst performing team at home and 2nd worst performing away from home so far.

They additionally have 10 first team players out injured so with past performance not being great and a depleted squad I don't see them turning into a team that gets 8 points from teams that they've got 1 from in the previous 5 attempts.



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But we should EXPECT a win! Listen man Luton are dogshit, so are we but marginally less.


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[Captain Sinister]

In my own relegation run in I had today's game as a draw, and the final outturn still sees us finish in 16th above Blunts, Burnley, everton, and Luton.
So, fret ye not.
I have Forest to get a point next weekend at Goodison.

 

[Est.1865]

I think we’ll beat Everton comfortably.

 

[Thomas]

I think we’ll beat Everton comfortably.

Finally someone with sense


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[DizzyBala]

Go to Everton and next week and get a positive result there or don't come back in my opinion.

 

[Robertson]

It’s going to the last game I reckon. Origi to score a late equaliser off his arse as a sub, before Murillo scores the winner in injury time from the halfway line. Pandemonium in the away end at Turf Moor.

 

[vansteal]

In the reverse fixtures they have drawn with 10 man wolves and lost to the rest.

They are also the 3rd worst performing team at home and 2nd worst performing away from home so far.

They additionally have 10 first team players out injured so with past performance not being great and a depleted squad I don't see them turning into a team that gets 8 points from teams that they've got 1 from in the previous 5 attempts.



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They beat Everton, didn’t they?

 

[Ashley]

I think we’ll beat Everton comfortably.

I don't, purely because we can't defend set pieces and they are a Dyche team so will get at least one goal. Think we might get a point though.

 

[valspoodle]

Confidence must be pretty much at zero. That is making our attempts to win games so much harder, every time we take the lead, within five minutes it disappears.

 

[Colbackstreet Boys]

At the business end of the season it's the squads with a surprise in them that stay up. There is nothing surprising about this Forest side, which is why I'm almost certain we'll drop now. We just don't have a big, shock result in us and apart from that Newcastle game we haven't done all season. We did last season, despite having a weaker squad than Leeds and Leicester.

The funny thing is, I think we're the best footballing side in that bottom 6 and the most dangerous. But the whole league knows our vulnerabilities, the whole league knows the easiest way to undo our game plan is to stick a high ball into a dangerous area, the whole league knows we don't score after 80 minutes, and the whole league knows Nuno is always two steps behind in terms of affecting the game's trajectory and that we don't have that much quality coming off the bench. And the whole league knows that this isn't going to change between now and mid-May.

We've got five more games to start surprising teams but my belief in this squad has well and truly drained today. A return to the Championship has never felt so tangible.

 

[Robertson]

We just don't have a big, shock result in us and apart from that Newcastle game we haven't done all season. We did last season, despite having a weaker squad than Leeds and Leicester.

Eh? Surprise results are by definition unexpected, so they don’t happen very often, otherwise they become expected. We had probably three last season (Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal) and have had maybe two or three so far this season.

 

[MaxiRobriguez]

Eh? Surprise results are by definition unexpected, so they don’t happen very often, otherwise they become expected. We had probably three last season (Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal) and have had maybe two or three so far this season.

Arsenal one wasn't even that much of a suprise, there was definitely a palpable sense that we could and would beat them going into the ground that day after Everton got their late leveler and confirmed the opportunity of winning to stay up.

 

[Robertson]

Arsenal one wasn't even that much of a suprise, there was definitely a palpable sense that we could and would beat them going into the ground that day after Everton got their late leveler.

Fair point really.

 

[Mr. Blonde]

Eh? Surprise results are by definition unexpected, so they don’t happen very often, otherwise they become expected.

 

[Malwood]

I am officially concerned. If Luton beat Brentford next Saturday I'll upgrade that to worried.

 

[Frank Clark’s Tash]

Thing is though our form is still better than Luton's whichever form table you look at

It's the league table I'd worry about.

 

[BryanRoy22]

I don't, purely because we can't defend set pieces and they are a Dyche team so will get at least one goal. Think we might get a point though.

I'm sure I read a stat the other day that Everton have scored the 2nd most goals from set pieces this season.

Arsenal are number 1. Luton are right up there too.

 

[isaacs]

Looking at Lutons fixtures has given me a little booster because i think the 3 teams that are able to deal with their style of play are Brentford, Everton and West Ham. All 3 sides know how to work in the trenches. Fulham is definitely one where we really don't know what version will turn up and Wolves away is always tricky. They might not win another game this season.

Its a straw and i'm clutching at it.