Grass
Geoff Thomas
Brentford have got Arsenal, Chelsea and Man City coming up in their next 4 games with West Ham being the other.
Think they will only get 3pts
Think they will only get 3pts
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The Relegation Dogfight 23/24
- Thread starter UnfinishedBusiness99
- Start date
Mr. Blonde
Jack Burkitt
Can easily see Brentford getting dragged into it, they're only one point above Palace and us and have tough fixtures coming up
Cloughie1975
John Robertson
Yes-but they have to face Sheffield United and Burnley yet and aren’t staring down the
barrel of a points deduction (which is the case with Forest and Everton).
I’d be very surprised if they’re in serious trouble in May.
IvorThirst
Youth Team
Brentford will survive as long as Ivan Toney stays fit
Malwood
Geoff Thomas
Getting more points than Luton isn't going to be easy, based on the way they carried the game to Man U after going two goals down
Robertson
Geoff Thomas
People have been saying this for weeks and they’re still four points behind us.
Robertson
Geoff Thomas
Would be nice if West Ham had a new manager bounce just in time for the Brentford game (nothing personal against Moyes).
Quntib Hollox
Jack Armstrong
Brentford have been pimping Toney off since just before the comeback from his ban. Good luck to them if they think they can mug Arsenal or Chelsea of £100M.
Personallyiput him in the above average category and would not swap Awoniyi for him.
Statto
Free Kick Specialist
That's a massive gamble though
Quntib Hollox
Jack Armstrong
Brentford are a similar standard to us and don’t have any disciplinary issues. I think they’re pretty safe.
Red Dog in a Forest
Viv Anderson
Palace are the club most at risk. If they get nothing from the next two games (Everton A / Burnley H) they have a horrific run of fixtures:
Spurs A
Luton H
Newcastle H
Forest A
Bournemouth A
City H
Liverpool A
West Ham H
Fulham A
United H
Wolves A
Villa H
Spurs A
Luton H
Newcastle H
Forest A
Bournemouth A
City H
Liverpool A
West Ham H
Fulham A
United H
Wolves A
Villa H
Arsenal's last 5 league games : -
Burnley W 5-0
West Ham W 6-0
Liverpool W 3-1
Forest W 2-1
Palace W 5-0
They were way too good for us in reality, but a Turner mistake cost us a point. We did alright.
SouthManchesterTree
Viv Anderson
TrickyTree101
First Team Squad
Luton are the surprise package and in any other season I would wish them well, however concerned about points deduction. Think we could survive 6 points at a push, but anything more than that we are are down. Saying that if Barkley gets injured for any length of time then they are truly stuffed. If they go down we could do far worse then getting Adebayo in as number 2 striker for the games when Awoniyi is injured
Statto
Free Kick Specialist
Notcher
Stuart Pearce
Kin hell, don't leave any vowels for anyone else will ya pal
redforest
Geoff Thomas
Palace at 6/1 is insane and must be based on the assumption that both us and Everton are going to lose points due to FFP
Major Oak Morgan
First Team Squad
Yes, Luton are plucky but they are still pretty shit. Man U were all over the place today and should’ve scored 6
Robertson
Geoff Thomas
I think being behind Bournemouth is currently annoying me as much as anything. Ok we might yet get a points deduction but at least we probably only have ourselves to blame for that. Bournemouth currently being 4 points ahead of us still just feels like a rip off.
SouthManchesterTree
Viv Anderson
2 things in particular count against us - the likely points deduction and we’ve played all of our easiest home games (winning virtually none of them).
We also rely heavily on a couple of players, although other teams do too
We also rely heavily on a couple of players, although other teams do too
Mr. Blonde
Jack Burkitt
Luton are shit
We'll finish well above them on points attained no question
We could still get relegated with some insane points penalty but no chance we're not finishing above Luton on points actually attained
We'll finish well above them on points attained no question
We could still get relegated with some insane points penalty but no chance we're not finishing above Luton on points actually attained
enlightened
First Team Squad
Don't think that's any worse than ours - especially given the two teams they play next.
MaxiRobriguez
Bob McKinlay
We really needed to beat them at their gaff. Was such an opportunity missed to put them right in the mixer.
MaxiRobriguez
Bob McKinlay
Luton are on course for 32 points finish.
Forest and Everton are on course for 36 point finish (adjusted for 10 points penalty already), but both may have further points taken off them.
Based on that, Palace probably only need to win 3 more games from their final 14, winning 4 would keep them up probably in 95%+ of permutations. They've got Burnley and Luton at home in 2 of their next four fixtures so they might just need one or two wins from their final 10 games by that point.
6/1 seems about right. It's less generous odds than the actual probability of them going down but that's how the bookies make their money after all.
RedSpoons
First Team Squad
Can’t work out what I’m hoping for tonight? Is any result particularly bad for us. Ideally we’d keep Everton at bay, given FFP punishment set to impact both us and them?